Taiwan sacrificed to Central America geopolitics

Panama announced June 13 that it is breaking its long-standing diplomatic ties with Taiwan in favor of establishing relations with China—a clear political coup for Beijing. The Panamanian statement said it recognized "only one China" and considers to be Taiwan part of it. The change was spurred by an unavoidable fact: China is the second most important Panama Canal user after the United States. Last year it sent 38 million metric tons of cargo through the interoceanic waterway, accounting for 19% of its traffic. The announcement of the diplomatic switch also comes just as Chinese enterprises began building a container port, with natural gas terminals, in Panama's Colón province, on the Atlantic side of the canal. "I think Dominican Republic and Nicaragua will soon follow," Mexico's former ambassador to China, Jorge Guajardo, tweeted soon after the announcement.

Nicaragua has aspirations to build its own interoceanic canal—with construction overseen by a Hong Kong firm. This places it in a race with Panama, which is seeking to expand its own canal to accommodate modern super-tankers. But Chinese capital is involved in both projects. Nicaragua has already tentatively broached dropping Taipei for Beijing—despite a backlash from opponents of the canal project, who have at times adopted Sinophobic rhetoric.

China's fast-growing economic presence in Latin America, and the strategic criticality of the Central American isthmus, spell bad news for Taiwan. Until 2007, all Central American nations officially recognized Taiwan as the legitimate government of China. Then Costa Rica switched allegiance, dropping Taipei to recognize Beijing. Panama is the latest to switch sides, leaving Taiwan with about 20 allies wordlwide. (Channel News Asia, June 14; BBC News, June 13)

If the number continues to dwindle, Taiwan could be reduced to the ranks of the world's "phantom republics." The obvious solution is abandoning the "One China" fiction and recognizing Taiwan and China as the two countries they really are. Ironically, Taipei's "One China" posture began as a bulwark of Cold War anti-communism, but is maintained today chiefly to avoid antagonizing Beijing—which views any move to make Tawain's de facto independence de jure as political heresy and an act of rebellion. So Taiwan, increasingly desperate for allies, is held hostage to a geopolitical game over a distant isthmus... 

El Salvador drops Taiwan for PRC; Nicaragua hangs on

China and El Salvador established diplomatic relations Aug 21 as the Central American nation ditched Taiwan in yet another victory for Beijing's campaign to isolate the island. El Salvador is the fifth diplomatic loss under the presidency of Tsai Ing-wen. Sao Tome switched recognition to Beijing in late 2016, followed by Panama in June last year. Burkina Faso and Dominican Republic switched earlier this year. (Channel News Asia)

Ambassadors from two of Taiwan's remaining Central American allies—Honduras and Nicaragua—reaffirmed their governments' commitment to maintaining diplomatic relations with Taipei. Guatemala, which also continues to recognize Taiwan, declined to comment. (Central News Agency)

Nicaragua has growing economic ties with China, and has in recent years equivocated on recognition of Taiwan. But a Taiwan-Nicaragua free trade agreement has also been in place since 2008, providing an incentive for Managua to stick with Taipei.

Imperial hypocrisy on Taiwan

So, CNN reports that the United States has recalled its top diplomats from Dominican Republic, El Salvador and Panama for consultations over those countries' recent decisions to no longer recognize Taiwan. Oh, come ON. Washington itself recognizes Beijing rather than Taipei. Yet it lectures El Salvador, Panama and the Dominican Republic for doing EXACTLY THE SAME THING? How does THIS work?

No, really. We want to know.

Palau defies 'China ban'

An interesting story in The Guardian tells how Palau is continuing to recognize Taiwan in defiance of a retaliatory "China ban"—a prohibition on tourist package tours to the island nation by the PRC, hitting its economy hard. But, embarassingly, the report places Palau in the "north-west Pacific." Fact-check much, Guardian?