Ten days into renewed heavy fighting over the contested territory of Nagorno-Karabakh, the enclave’s capital, Stepanakert, is coming under heavy shelling by Azerbaijan, with some 20 civilians killed. The self-governing enclave within Azerbaijan has since 1994 been under the control of ethnic Armenians, who constitute the majority there, and have declared the de facto Republic of Artsakh. The National Assembly of Artsakh on Oct. 5 issued a statement accusing Azerbaijan of intentionally targeting civilian infrastructure and using banned weaponry such as cluster munitions. The statement also accused Turkey of directing the offensive, and backing it up with mercenary fighters. The National Assembly called upon the international community to formally recognize the Republic of Artsakh as “the most effective way to put an end to the ongoing grave crimes against the peaceful population of Artsakh, and to protect their rights.”
The Armenian diaspora is mobilizing in support of this demand. Hundreds of Armenian-American protesters in Los Angeles blocked traffic on the 101 freeway Oct. 3. In France, Nicolas Aznavour, co-founder of the Aznavour Foundation and son of the famous French-Armenian singer Charles Aznavour, has called on President Emmanuel Macron to recognize the Republic of Artsakh. (Armenian Weekly, Public Radio of Armenia, LAT)
The threat of escalation is clearly grave. Azerbaijan’s second city, Ganja, has also come under shelling, with at least one civilian reported killed, and Baku has threatened to retaliate by destroying military targets inside Armenia. It is unclear if this shelling has come from Artsakh or Armenia proper. Yerevan denied it had directed fire “of any kind” toward Azerbaijan. Authorities in Artsakh said their forces had targeted a military airbase in Ganja but halted fire in order to avoid civilian casualties. (EurasiaNet, Al Jazeera)
There are also fears the fighting could spread to the Nakhichevan Autonomous Republic, an exclave under Azerbaijan’s sovereignty between Armenia and Iran, southwest of Nagorno-Karabakh/Artsakh. This would be an obvious vulnerable target for Armenian forces if Azerbaijan actually invades Artsakh. (Atlantic Council)
Artsakh and the Great Game
Nagorno-Karabakh, which translates as “Mountain of the Black Garden” in an amalgam of Russian and Turkic words, was a heartland of Armenian culture in ancient and medieval times, and under the rule of Armenian kingdoms. In the 5th century, the inventor of the Armenian alphabet, St. Mesrob Mashtots, established the first Armenian religious school at Amaras Monastery, now in Martuni district of the Artsakh Republic.
Turkic tribes conquered most of the Caucasus in the 13th century, and local Armenian rulers spent the following centuries in vassalage to different Turkish and Persian states. This cycle repeated until the 19th century, when the Russian Empire consumed most of the region. Under Russian rule, Nagorno-Karabakh became a part of Elisabethpol governorate, created as a buffer zone between Baku governorate (contemporary Azerbaijan) and Erevan governorate (contemporary Armenia). Throughout the centuries of Turkish, Persian and Russian rule, the Armenian and Turkic communities of the Caucasus generally co-existed peacefully, often sharing the same cities and villages.
This began to change with the emergence of nationalism in the late 19th century, opening a cycle of mutual clashes and pogroms, including in the area of Nagorno-Karabakh. During World War I, thousands of Armenians fled to territories controlled by Russia to escape a genocide perpetrated by the Turkish Ottoman Empire that killed some 1.5 million people. Memory of the Armenian genocide continues to inform the contemporary conflict.
In 1918, amid the chaos of the Russian Revolution, an independent Armenian state was declared, but it was conquered by the Soviet Red Army in 1920, with territories in the west (Kars and Surmalu provinces) ceded to Turkey. A Turkish-supported “Caucasian Islamic Army” simultaneously rose up in an attempt to seize what is now Azerbaijan before being likewise put down by the Soviets. Nagorno-Karabakh was contested by all the warring parties, with thousands of both Armenians and Turkic Muslims (contemporary Azeris) killed in reprisals.
As Soviet rule was established, the Armenians of Nagorno-Karabakh hoped their region would be unified with the Armenian Soviet Socialist Republic, but Moscow decided to award it to the Azerbaijan Soviet Socialist Republic. This was part of strategy by Joseph Stalin, then the People’s Commissar for Nationalities, to pit local populations against each other, solidifying their dependence on Moscow. With formal establishment of the USSR in 1922, both the Armenian and Azerbaijan republics, along with Georgia, were merged into a Transcaucasian Socialist Federative Soviet Republic (TSFSR). But this was dissolved in 1936, and the previous borders re-established.
In a concession to Armenian aspirations to self-rule, a Nagorno-Karabakh Autonomous Oblast was created within the TSFSR in 1923, and continued to exist as an oblast within the re-established Azerbaijan Soviet Socialist Republic after 1936. But here again Moscow’s map-makers complicated matters: It was with creation of the oblast that Nagorno-Karabakh lost its common border with Armenia, making the region an enclave isolated within Azerbaijani territory. Armenians continued to be the overwhelming majority there.
With the policy of glasnost (openness) under Mikhail Gorbachev in the 1980s, the region’s simmering ethnic tensions resurfaced. Calls for greater autonomy by the Armenians of Nagorno-Karabakh escalated to demands for full reunification with Armenia by 1988. Inter-ethnic clashes broke out that year, with anti-Armenian riots claiming the lives of many in Baku and other Azerbaijani cities. This, in turn, sparked reprisals against Azeris in Nagorno-Karabakh and Armenia. Moscow placed Nagorno-Karabakh under martial law that winter, but violence only escalated. Azerbaijan declared independence from the USSR in October 1991, and dissolved the Nagorno-Karabakh Autonomous Oblast. Nagorno-Karabakh responded by declaring independence from Azerbaijan that December, precipitating full-scale war between Azerbaijan and Armenia.
The Azeri minority was effectively cleansed from Nagorno-Karabakh during the war, with the February 1992 massacre of hundreds of ethnic Azeri civilians by Armenian separatist forces at Khojaly being the bloodiest episode.
The war ended with a Russian-brokered ceasefire in 1994, with the Republic of Artsakh under a de facto independence recognized by no country on earth (including Armenia). The unresolved status has left the territory ripe to be exploited as a pawn by both sides in the Great Game for the Caucasus still being played by Russia and Turkey. (Cilicia.com, Meduza, Geohistory Today, Conflict of Nagorno-Karabakh)
Map: Wikipedia
Nagorno-Karabakh truce breaks down —immediately
Armenia and Azerbaijan agreed to a Russia-brokered ceasefire in Nagorno-Karabakh starting Oct. 10, but immediately accused each other of breaking the deal intended to end the worst outbreak of hostilities over the breakaway enclave in more than a quarter-century. Minutes after the truce took effect, the Armenian military accused Azerbaijan of shelling the area near the town of Kapan in southeastern Armenia, killing one civilian. Azerbaijan’s Defense Ministry rejected the Armenian accusations as a “provocation.” (AP)
Russia arms both sides in Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict
Despite Turkish support for Azerbaijan in the new fighting, just under 3 percent of Azerbaijan’s weapons come from Turkey. More than half of its weapons were imported from Russia over the last five years. A further 41% of purchases came from another US ally, Israel. But Russia is the only major supplier of arms to both sides of this war. (PBS News Hour)
Armenian missiles strike Azerbaijan cities
Armenian armed forces have launched a missile attack on Azerbaijan’s second-largest city Ganja and Mingacevir. At least 12 people have been killed including two children and 40 more wounded in the attack, said Azerbaijan’s general prosecutor office. (TRT World)
Armenia-Azerbaijan ‘peace’ deal: aggression rewarded?
It was a sad sight to see violent protests breaking out in Yerevan and celebrations in Baku, making all too clear who was on the losing side of the Russian-brokered “peace” deal between Armenia and Azerbaijan. The signatories to the pact are Armenian President Pashinyan, Azerbaijan President Aliyev and Russian President Putin—not the leadership of Artsakh. Armenia is to cede control of a buffer zone it has occupied since 1994 between its borders at those of Artsakh, leaving only a narrow “corridor” connecting the two territories, to be policed by Russian “peacekeepers.” The actual territory of Artsakh is also to be slightly reduced, with the town of Shusha, recently taken by Azerbaijan, to remain under Baku’s control. The deal comes a day after video footage emerged, appearing to show disarmed Armenian war captives being summarily shot while their hands were tied behind their backs. The videos prompted calls for a war crimes investigation.
Exodus from Nagorno-Karabakh
Radio Free Europe reports a “mass exodus” of Armenians from the Nagorno-Karabakh region for Armenia proper, with residents abandoning their homes because they no longer feel safe now surrounded almost completely by Azerbaijan’s military forces. Video shows a road through the former buffer zone clogged with vehicles.
French Senate resolution calls for recognition of Artsakh
The French Senate voted 305 to 1 to adopt a resolution, calling for recognition of the Republic of Artsakh by France. The resolution condemns the military aggression of Azerbaijan against the people of Nagorno Karabakh, and calls for the immediate withdrawal of the Azerbaijani armed forces from the territories occupied after Sept. 27, 2020. (Public Radio of Armenia)