Watching the Shadows
NSS

Trump Corollary: spheres of influence, white supremacy

Donald Trump’s new National Security Strategy instates a “Trump Corollary” to the Monroe Doctrine. Like the Roosevelt Corollary of 1904, which was used to justify the “gunboat diplomacy” of that era, this new corollary openly calls for dividing the world into spheres of influence—with the Western Hemisphere assigned to the US. Russia is obviously pleased as punch over this, as it implicitly gives Moscow a free hand in Ukraine—and Putin will likely consider this an acceptable pay-off for his betrayal of Venezuela. However, China is less likely to surrender its massive investments and mega-projects in Latin America in exchange for a free hand to take over Taiwan. The document’s text on Europe is even more sinister, revealing a white supremacist agenda that looks not to Washington’s traditional allies to counter Russia, but to the continent’s Russian-backed far-right movements to counter Washington’s traditional allies. In Episode 308 of the CounterVortex podcast, Bill Weinberg exposes the NSS as a further step toward consolidation of a Fascist World Order. (Image: White House)

Planet Watch
emissions

COP30 deal sidesteps fossil fuel transition

The world’s governments approved a new climate deal at the COP30 summit in BelĂ©m, Brazil, adopting the so‑called BelĂ©m Package, a bundle of decisions that calls for tripling outlays to help vulnerable countries adapt to intensifying climate impacts. The package references the Global Goal on Adaptation in the 2015 Paris Agreement, and an expanded “action agenda” to scale finance for locally led projects such as resilient agriculture and “nature‑based solutions.” However, efforts to secure a negotiated roadmap away from fossil fuels collapsed after days of deadlock. The final compromise text omits any explicit commitment to “transition away from” or “phase out” coal, oil and gas—despite sustained pressure from a large coalition of states and civil society groups to include such language. The major oil-producing countries resisted binding language on hydrocarbon reduction, while many developing countries tied their support for any resolution to assurances on finance and equity. (Photo: cwizner/Pixabay)

Planet Watch
Awá

World’s ‘uncontacted’ peoples face imminent extermination

A comprehensive global report on “uncontacted” indigenous peoples published by UK-based Survival International estimates that the world still holds at least 196 uncontacted or isolated peoples living in 10 countries in South America, Southeast Asia and the Pacific region. Nine out of 10 of these groups face the threat of unwanted contact by extractive industries, including logging, mining and oil and gas drilling. It’s estimated that a quarter are threatened by agribusiness, with a third terrorized by criminal gangs. Intrusions by missionaries are a problem for one in six groups. After contact, indigenous groups are often decimated by illnesses, mainly influenza, for which they have little immunity. Survival International found that unless governments and private companies act to protect them, half of these groups could be wiped out within 10 years. (Photo: Brazil’s indigenous agency, FUNAI, makes contact with the Awá people in 2014. Credit: FUNAI via Mongabay)

Planet Watch
anthropocene

Absent Trump looms large over COP30

Following another year of record temperatures and powerful storms, world leaders are gathering in BelĂ©m, Brazil, for the opening of the COP30 climate talks. But the leaders attending—notably, they do not include US President Donald Trump—will be confronted by a fraying global consensus on climate change, amid difficult geopolitical headwinds. A major risk to multilateral climate action is the presidency of Trump, who has described global warming as the world’s “greatest con job.” Reuters reported that some European officials have been bracing for a possible intervention by the Trump administration—despite the US withdrawal from the Paris Agreement. Washington recently torpedoed a carbon levy on shipping, and European officials are worried that the Trump administration could make threats with tariffs or visa restrictions to influence the COP talks too. “If they pull the same tactics, I think there’s zero chance of having any sort of rallying around the Paris Agreement in response,” one official told Reuters. (Photo: CounterVortex)

Planet Watch
ANWR

Trump opens entire ANWR Coastal Plain to drilling

Secretary of the Interior Doug Burgum announced that he will open the entire 1.56 million acres of the Coastal Plain of the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR) to oil and gas leasing. These lands are sacred to the Gwich’in Nation, home to irreplaceable wildlife, and have never seen industrialization. This was one of a series of resource development actions taken by the Interior Department during a government shutdown, aimed at opening up Alaska for the benefit of corporate interests. (Photo: USFWS via KALW)

Africa
Chad

Chad: dynastic dictatorship consolidating

Human Rights Watch condemned the adoption of a constitutional reform in Chad, stating that it could pose a significant setback to democracy and the rule of law by empowering current President Mahamat Idriss DĂ©by to remain in power for generations to come. The minimal number of opposition lawmakers present boycotted the vote, describing it as in contravention of the constitution. DĂ©by inherited his late father President Idriss DĂ©by Itno’s position after his 30-year rule marked by corruption and violence, and tensions are high amid concerns about the emergence of a political dynasty. (Photo: VOA via Wikimedia Commons)

The Andes
Venezuela

Trump officials push Venezuela regime change

Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro announced that he is ready to declare a state of emergency in response to aggression by the United States. Such a declaration would give the army control over public services and the country’s oil industry, which Venezuelan leaders say the US is preparing to grab. US officials, led by Secretary of State Marco Rubio and CIA director John Ratcliffe, are reported to be pushing plans to overthrow Maduro. The US has increased its naval presence in the Caribbean and launched repeated deadly strikes on civilian vessels in international waters off Venezuela. President Trump has claimed, without evidence, that the vessels were carrying drug traffickers. Rubio recently described Maduro as a “fugitive from American justice” who leads a terrorist and criminal organization bringing narcotics into the US, posing an “imminent, immediate threat.” (Image: Grunge Love via Flickr)

The Caribbean
Aegis

US destroyers menace Venezuela

Three US Aegis guided-missile destroyers have been dispatched to waters off the coast of Venezuela, as part of what the Trump administration calls an effort to counter threats from Latin American drug cartels. The mobilization follows Washington’s decision to increase the bounty for the capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, doubling it to an unprecedented $50 million. In response to the increased US military presence in the Caribbean, President Maduro announced plans to mobilize 4.5 million members of the territorial militia across the country. “Rifles and missiles for the rural forces! To defend Venezuela’s territory, sovereignty and peace,” he proclaimed. (Photo: US Navy via Latin America Reports)

Africa
Angola

Protest police repression in Angola

Angolan police used excessive force and carried out arbitrary arrests during a peaceful protest in Luanda, Human Rights Watch charges. According to reports, officers fired tear-gas and rubber bullets without justification, assaulted demonstrators, and detained several protesters. The demonstration, organized by youth groups and civil society organizations, was a response to the Angolan government’s decision to raise fuel prices and eliminate public transport subsidies without public consultation. (Photo: Nicolas Raymond/Flickr)

Iraq
KRG

Iraq: mysterious drone strikes on Kurdistan oil-fields

Three days of drone attacks on oil-fields in Iraq’s autonomous Kurdistan region have brought operations at several facilities to a halt and slashed crude output. The targeted sites include fields at Zakho, operated by Norway’s DNO; the Sarsang field, operated by US-based HKN Energy; and the Ain Sifni field, operated by Hunt Oil, all in Dohuk governorate. Kurdistan authorities also said a drone was downed near Erbil airport, which hosts US troops. Nobody has claimed responsibility for the attacks, but Kurdish authorities blamed the Hashd al-Shaabi, or Popular Mobilization Units, a paramilitary network aligned with the Baghdad government and backed by Iran. The attacks come amid renewed dispute between Baghdad and the Kurdistan Regional Government over whether the KRG may enter into hydrocarbon contracts with foreign firms. In May, the central government filed a complaint against the KRG for signing gas contracts with two US companies, including HKN Energy, asserting that all oil and gas deals must go through Baghdad. (Map: UNHCR via ReliefWeb)

North America
Canada

Podcast: MAGA-fascism and the struggle in Canada

Trump’s annexationist designs on Canada were the central issue in the country’s elections this past week, which saw a victory for the intransigently anti-Trump candidate, Mark Carney. While this seems surreal after a generation of economic integration under NAFTA, the vast resources of Canada—especially hydrocarbons, water and energy—provide a long-term goad of conflict between the two giants of North America. The Pentagon does in fact have a contingency plan for an invasion of Canada, dating back to the 1930s. In Episode 276 of the CounterVortex podcast, Bill Weinberg explores the strategic and corporate agendas behind Trump’s bellicose bluster. (Image: source unknown, lifted from Art & Architecture, Mainly)

Africa
Turkey-Somalia

Turkey in oil-for-security deal with Somalia

Turkey has sent 500 troops to the Somali capital Mogadishu, the first phase of a planned 2,500-strong deployment to bolster the government against recent advances by the insurgent group al-Shabaab. Turkey already has 300 soldiers in Mogadishu, primarily to train the elite Gorgor brigade. Meanwhile, Turkey has also struck a controversial oil and gas exploration deal with the government in which it will receive 90% of all future revenues as a cost-recovery mechanism. Somalia will earn just 5% in royalties. (Photo: United Nations via Globely News)